Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.035745 0.038580 0.041554 0.044910 0.048598 0.052532 0.057056
2025-04-06 0.030563 0.034472 0.038795 0.043949 0.049949 0.056742 0.065054
2025-04-13 0.027843 0.032471 0.037800 0.044429 0.052507 0.062102 0.074460
2025-04-20 0.025590 0.030646 0.036659 0.044402 0.054198 0.066305 0.082591
2025-04-27 0.024088 0.029513 0.036149 0.044954 0.056472 0.071223 0.091863
2025-05-04 0.022510 0.028118 0.035142 0.044708 0.057586 0.074602 0.099260
2025-05-11 0.021203 0.026947 0.034297 0.044543 0.058705 0.077964 0.106798
2025-05-18 0.020030 0.025854 0.033452 0.044272 0.059592 0.080988 0.114012
2025-05-25 0.019056 0.024954 0.032787 0.044166 0.060649 0.084259 0.121783
2025-06-01 0.017999 0.023871 0.031794 0.043512 0.060834 0.086220 0.127660
2025-06-08 0.016982 0.022784 0.030724 0.042661 0.060642 0.087558 0.132607
2025-06-15 0.016189 0.021964 0.029981 0.042226 0.061014 0.089739 0.139030
2025-06-22 0.015454 0.021197 0.029280 0.041821 0.061420 0.092018 0.145860
2025-06-29 0.014650 0.020291 0.028331 0.040981 0.061084 0.093075 0.150684
2025-07-06 0.014267 0.019980 0.028234 0.041433 0.062806 0.097575 0.161877
2025-07-13 0.013785 0.019497 0.027853 0.041410 0.063744 0.100813 0.171078
2025-07-20 0.013474 0.019252 0.027815 0.041919 0.065575 0.105678 0.183709
2025-07-27 0.013002 0.018740 0.027341 0.041692 0.066144 0.108368 0.192443
2025-08-03 0.012579 0.018285 0.026930 0.041541 0.066820 0.111276 0.201852
2025-08-10 0.012159 0.017817 0.026478 0.041292 0.067300 0.113847 0.210806
2025-08-17 0.011799 0.017426 0.026129 0.041195 0.068035 0.116924 0.221073
2025-08-24 0.011350 0.016879 0.025504 0.040593 0.067818 0.118182 0.227617
2025-08-31 0.010889 0.016294 0.024795 0.039810 0.067223 0.118663 0.232516